UFC 292 is finally here, and boy is it a great card! UFC returns to TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, for UFC 292. The Main Event is a Bantamweight Title Fight between Aljamain Sterling and Sean O’Malley. We also have a juicy Co-Main, with Zhang Weili taking on Amanda Lemos for the woman’s Strawweight Belt. There are also many other key fights to get you pumped up before the main show.
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Check out all our UFC tips for UFC 292 including predictions for the Main Event, as well as two other fights on the card:
Best Bet - Sterling v O’Malley - Sterling to Win - $1.40
Sean O’Malley’s UFC arc has been impressive since his DWCS and UF days back in 2017. There’s no doubt that he’s become a star in the promotion, whether you love him or hate him, you’ll watch him. Is he the next Conor Mcgregor?
A win on Sunday would suggest he is. His UFC resume is nearly flawless, with the exception being his TKO loss to Marlon Vera after suffering an injury at UFC 252. He’s had six wins come by finish in the UFC (including DWCS), however, the calibre of his last fights has been questionable, some would even say sacrificial lambs.
His recent finishes include UFC debutant Kris Moutinho (now released), Raulian Paiva (4-4) and Thomas Almeida who has been on a rough streak and now released. His best win was a controversial split decision win over Yan. He certainly has the knockout power, the skill and the timing to cause an upset, but it won’t be easy.
There’s a decent argument around Sterling being the bantamweight GOAT. People forget how good his run has been at Bantamweight. He’s been on a 9-fight win streak if you include his DQ win over Yan in 2021. Regardless, he carries a split decision win over Henry Cejudo, a Round 2 TKO over T.J. Dillashaw, an SD win over Yan, an impressive rear naked submission win over Sandhagen and more.
Undoubtedly, he’s been fighting the top fighters for the last four years. I think his experience and ground game is too much for O’Malley. He certainly has the advantage on the feet; however, Sterling has managed to close the distance in pretty much all his fights. I think Sterling controls the fight in the later rounds and gets a win (perhaps a decision win @ $3.30).
Next Best - Lemos v Zhang – Zhang to Win by KO - $2.20
Strawweight champing Weili Zhang looks to defend her belt against Amanda Lemos in the Co-Main Event at UFC 292. Weili is generally in an entertaining fight. She regained her title with a 2nd round sub over Carla Esparza last year.
She originally won the belt when she KO’d Jessica Andrade in 2019, and who can forget her 5-round slugfest against Joanna Jedrzejczyk back in 2020. It looks like her only kryptonite at Strawweight is Rose Namajunas. She possesses powerful striking, relentless pressure and has even picked up a few sneaky submissions.
Lenos is ranked number five at Strawweight. She’s been on an impressive two fight win streak since her loss to Andrade in 2022. Her most recent win was a KO/TKO over Marina Rodriguez, putting her next in line for a title shot. With only two losses inside the octagon, she belongs at the top.
She can certainly stand with Weili and draw the scrap but is also handy on the ground. However, I feel Weili will be too strong and technical and is also a big threat if she gets into a ground and point position. I think Weili gets the finish, perhaps inside three rounds.
Value Bet - Garry v Magny - Garry to Win in Round 1 - $3.00
Ian Garry was set to face off against Geoff Neal previously, but Geoff withdrew due to health issues two weeks prior to the fight. Neil Magny stepped in on short notice even though he fought just 9 weeks ago. Neil won that fight by split decision with his best recent win coming by a D’Arce choke finish over Daniel Rodriguez.
Neil is a veteran of the spot, with more than 10 years of experience in the promotion. Although he hasn’t had KO/TKO win since 2018, his 28-11 record is impressive. Garry holds a perfect 12-0 record with five straight wins in the UFC. He’s another young prospect from Ireland and he’s been on fire.
He’s a smooth boxer, very technical and sound on the ground. He’s also had the bonus of a full camp and preparation. With an average of 6.85 significant strikes per minute, I think he’ll get on top of Magny early. He finished Rodriguez in Round 1 and I think he’ll do the same here.
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